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Answer: GBP 7,930
## Explanation D is correct. In its application to credit risk, Euler’s theorem states that: \[ Q_i = \frac{\Delta F_i}{\Delta x_i} x_i \] and that (in the limit, as \(\Delta x_i\) goes to zero): \[ F = \sum_{i=1}^{n} Q_i \] Where: - \( F \) is a (homogeneous) risk measure for a portfolio - \( x_i \) is the same risk measure calculated for one component position in the portfolio - \( \Delta x_i \) is a small change in this risk measure - \( \Delta F_i \) is the resultant change in the portfolio’s risk measure ### Calculations Using the information given: \[ \Delta F_1 = 58.1 \\ Q_1 = \frac{58.1}{1\%} = 5,810 \] \[ \Delta F_2 = 65.6 \\ Q_2 = \frac{65.6}{1\%} = 6,560 \] \[ F = Q_1 + Q_2 + Q_3 \\ 20,300 = 5,810 + 6,560 + Q_3 \\ Q_3 = 7,930 \] ## Incorrect Options - **A is incorrect.** This is the proportion of portfolio VaR equivalent to the proportion of Loan 3’s amount to the total amount of all of the loans: \[ 20,300 \times \frac{160,000}{180,000 + 200,000 + 160,000} = 6,014.82 \] - **B is incorrect.** - **C is incorrect.** This is the proportion of portfolio VaR equivalent to the proportion of Loan 3’s individual VaR to the sum of the individual loan VaRs: \[ 20,300 \times \frac{9,500}{10,000 + 8,000 + 9,500} = 7,012.73 \]
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A financial institution's risk analyst uses Euler's theorem to assess how each loan impacts the Value at Risk (VaR) of a loan portfolio. The portfolio has a total VaR of GBP 20,300. Provided below are the details of the three loans within the portfolio:
| Loan | Loan amount (GBP) | Loan VaR (GBP) | Change in portfolio VaR for a 1% increase in loan VaR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loan 1 | 180,000 | 10,000 | 58.1 |
| Loan 2 | 200,000 | 8,000 | 65.6 |
| Loan 3 | 160,000 | 9,500 | Unknown |
The correlation coefficients between the loan pairs in the portfolio are:
| Loan pair | Correlation |
|---|---|
| Loan 1 and Loan 2 | 0.1 |
| Loan 1 and Loan 3 | 0.1 |
| Loan 2 and Loan 3 | 0.8 |
Determine the closest estimate of the contribution of Loan 3 to the overall portfolio VaR.
A
GBP 6,015
B
GBP6,320
C
GBP 7,013
D
GBP 7,930
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