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Answer: 42%
The question is asking for the conditional probability that a retirement plan beneficiary, selected at random from the sample, will also receive a lump-sum payment given that they have opted for monthly disbursements. The correct answer is B, which is 42%. The explanation for this answer is based on the concept of conditional probability. Conditional probability is calculated using the formula P(A | B) = P(A ∩ B) / P(B), where P(A | B) is the probability of event A occurring given that event B has occurred, P(A ∩ B) is the probability of both events A and B occurring together, and P(B) is the probability of event B occurring. In this scenario: - Event A is the beneficiary opting for monthly disbursements. - Event B is the beneficiary opting for a lump-sum payment. From the data provided: - There are 57 beneficiaries who opted for monthly disbursements (P(A) = 57/100). - There are 43 beneficiaries who opted for a lump-sum payment. - There are 24 beneficiaries who have opted for both monthly disbursements and a lump-sum payment (P(A ∩ B) = 24/100). Plugging these values into the formula for conditional probability: P(B | A) = P(A ∩ B) / P(A) = (24/100) / (57/100) = 24/57 ≈ 0.4211, which is approximately 42%. This calculation shows that if a beneficiary has opted for monthly disbursements, there is a 42% chance that they will also receive a lump-sum payment.
Author: LeetQuiz Editorial Team
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A pension scheme's risk manager is conducting an annual review of the payout preferences among 100 participants in a retirement plan and observes the following data:
A
24%
B
42%
C
50%
D
56%
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