
Financial Risk Manager Part 1
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A financial analyst is examining the currency exchange rate dynamics between the United States dollar (USD) and the Euro (EUR). To aid this analysis, the following market data is available:
- The current exchange rate stands at 1.13 USD for 1 EUR.
- The annualized risk-free interest rate for USD over 1 year is 2.7%.
- The annualized risk-free interest rate for EUR over 1 year is 1.7%.
Using the interest rate parity (IRP) theory, compute the forward exchange rate for 1 EUR in terms of USD, specifically for a 2-year period.
A financial analyst is examining the currency exchange rate dynamics between the United States dollar (USD) and the Euro (EUR). To aid this analysis, the following market data is available:
- The current exchange rate stands at 1.13 USD for 1 EUR.
- The annualized risk-free interest rate for USD over 1 year is 2.7%.
- The annualized risk-free interest rate for EUR over 1 year is 1.7%.
Using the interest rate parity (IRP) theory, compute the forward exchange rate for 1 EUR in terms of USD, specifically for a 2-year period.
Explanation:
The correct answer is D: 1.1523. According to the interest rate parity theory, the forward exchange rate (F) can be calculated using the formula: , where:
- is the spot exchange rate (1.13 USD per EUR in this case),
- is the USD risk-free rate (2.7% per year),
- is the EUR risk-free rate (1.7% per year),
- is the time to delivery (2 years in this scenario).
Plugging the given values into the formula, we get:
This calculation shows that the 2-year forward USD per EUR exchange rate, based on the current spot rate and the risk-free interest rates for both currencies, is 1.1523. The other options (A, B, and C) represent incorrect calculations or assumptions about the rates and time periods involved.