
Explanation:
The correct answer to the question is D. The best way to address the issue of limited historical data on operational risk losses is to merge external data from other banks with the bank's internal data after making appropriate scale adjustments. This approach is effective because it increases the dataset of historical operational losses, which can help in estimating the bank's loss severity distribution more accurately. The external data needs to be adjusted for size, based on the relative size of the banks' revenues, before being merged with the bank's internal data. This ensures that the data is comparable and relevant to the bank's specific operational risk profile.
The other options are not as suitable:
The explanation is based on the principles outlined in the Global Association of Risk Professionals' "Valuation and Risk Models" publication, specifically Chapter 7 on Operational Risk.
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A risk management professional at a bank is attempting to determine the distribution of potential losses stemming from operational risks (e.g., internal fraud, system failures, and other disruptions). However, the professional is facing a challenge due to the limited availability of historical data on these types of losses. Considering this constraint, what is the most effective approach to accurately estimate the severity of these operational losses?
A
Generate additional data using Monte Carlo simulation and merge it with the bank's internal historical data.
B
Estimate the parameters of a Poisson distribution to model the loss severity of operational losses.
C
Estimate relevant probabilities using loss information that is published by credit rating agencies.
D
Merge external data from other banks with the bank's internal data after making appropriate scale adjustments.