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Financial Risk Manager Part 2

Financial Risk Manager Part 2

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Consider a non-dividend-paying firm for which you need to determine the probability of default (PD) using Merton's model. The given data includes:

  • Asset value: CAD 400 million
  • Face value of long-term zero-coupon bonds: CAD 300 million
  • Expected return on asset value: 15%
  • Instantaneous volatility of asset value: 25%
  • Annual interest rate: 3%
  • Maturity of the company's debt: 1 year

Using this data, calculate the probability of default for the firm according to Merton's model. Furthermore, discuss a potential drawback of utilizing Merton's model for predicting the company's default risk.

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