Financial Risk Manager Part 1

Financial Risk Manager Part 1

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An analyst is evaluating how Stock A's returns are influenced by different macroeconomic factors. The sensitivity of Stock A's return to these factors is quantified by the following factor betas:

  • Industrial production: 1.30
  • Interest rate: -0.75

Currently, it is assumed that a 3.0% increase in industrial production and an interest rate of 1.5% lead to a projected return of 5.0% for Stock A. The economic research team forecasts a significant economic upturn for the next year, expecting a 4.2% increase in industrial production and a 25 basis point rise in interest rates, bringing them to 1.75%. Based on these predictions, what return for Stock A is projected for the upcoming year?