
Financial Risk Manager Part 1
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An analyst aims to calculate the cost of a 6-month futures contract for a stock index that currently stands at USD 750. The analyst has the following information: the risk-free interest rate is continuously compounded at an annual rate of 3.5%, and the dividend yield from the stocks in the index is also continuously compounded at an annual rate of 2.0%. Based on this data, what is the value of the 6-month futures contract?
An analyst aims to calculate the cost of a 6-month futures contract for a stock index that currently stands at USD 750. The analyst has the following information: the risk-free interest rate is continuously compounded at an annual rate of 3.5%, and the dividend yield from the stocks in the index is also continuously compounded at an annual rate of 2.0%. Based on this data, what is the value of the 6-month futures contract?
Explanation:
The price of the 6-month futures contract can be determined using the formula for the forward price on a financial asset, which is given by:
where:
- is the spot price of the asset.
- is the continuously compounded risk-free interest rate.
- is the continuous dividend yield on the asset.
- is the time until the delivery date in years.
Given the information from the file:
- The spot price of the stock index () is USD 750.
- The continuously compounded risk-free rate () is 3.5% per year.
- The continuously compounded dividend yield () is 2.0% per year.
- The time until delivery () is 0.5 years (6 months).
Plugging these values into the formula, we get:
Therefore, the correct price of the 6-month futures contract is USD 755.65, which corresponds to option B. This calculation is based on the no-arbitrage principle, ensuring that the futures price reflects the cost of carrying the asset until the delivery date, adjusted for dividends and the risk-free rate.