LeetQuiz Logo
Privacy Policy•contact@leetquiz.com
© 2025 LeetQuiz All rights reserved.
Financial Risk Manager Part 1

Financial Risk Manager Part 1

Get started today

Ultimate access to all questions.


A commodity trading firm's risk analyst is currently evaluating the supply and demand variables for various commodities and is particularly concerned about potential fluctuations in the forward prices for silver in the upcoming months. As of now, the spot price of silver stands at USD 20.35 per troy ounce, while the 6-month forward price is USD 20.50 per troy ounce. The analyst anticipates that the lease rate will exceed the continuously compounded risk-free interest rate in 6 months. Given this scenario, which of the following statements best describes the anticipated form of the silver forward curve after the 6-month period?

Exam-Like



Explanation:

The correct answer is A, which states that the forward curve will be downward sloping. This is based on the relationship between the forward price, risk-free rate, and lease rate for commodities. The forward price (F) is calculated using the formula F = S(1 + R)^T, where S is the spot price, R is the risk-free rate, and T is the time to maturity of the forward contract in years. Additionally, the commodity lease rate can be represented as (1 + R) - 1.

When the lease rate is higher than the continuously compounded risk-free interest rate, it implies that the cost of carrying the commodity (including storage and insurance) is greater than the return on the risk-free investment. This situation leads to a condition known as backwardation, where the forward price is lower than the spot price (F < S). Consequently, the forward curve, which represents the relationship between forward prices and time to maturity, will be downward sloping after 6 months. This indicates that the forward prices for future delivery are lower than the current spot price, reflecting the higher costs of carrying the commodity compared to the risk-free rate.

Powered ByGPT-5