A portfolio manager is studying the relationship between the 1-year default probability of a longevity bond (issued by a life insurance company) and equity market returns. The manager has developed the following joint probability table based on preliminary research: Based on the table, what is the **conditional probability** that the longevity bond defaults within one year, given that the equity market declines by 20% over that same period? | Financial Risk Manager Part 1 Quiz - LeetQuiz