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Financial Risk Manager Part 1

Financial Risk Manager Part 1

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On November 1, a fund manager overseeing a USD 60 million US mid-to-large cap equity portfolio is considering ways to safeguard the recent gains following a market uptrend. At this time, the S&P 500 Index stands at 2,110, and the S&P 500 Index futures, which have a multiplier of 250, are priced at 2,120. To avoid selling off the portfolio holdings, the fund manager aims to hedge two-thirds of the portfolio's market risk over the next 2 months. Given a correlation coefficient of 0.89 between the equity portfolio and the S&P 500 Index futures, as well as annual volatilities of 0.51 for the equity portfolio and 0.48 for the S&P 500 futures, what trading strategy should the fund manager employ to achieve this hedging objective?

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Explanation:

The optimal hedge ratio is calculated by multiplying the correlation coefficient between the equity portfolio and the S&P 500 Index futures by the ratio of the volatility of the equity portfolio to the volatility of the S&P 500 futures. In this case, the correlation coefficient is 0.89, the volatility of the equity portfolio is 0.51, and the volatility of the S&P 500 futures is 0.48. Thus, the optimal hedge ratio (h) is:

h=0.89×(0.510.48)=0.9456h = 0.89 \times \left(\frac{0.51}{0.48}\right) = 0.9456h=0.89×(0.480.51​)=0.9456

The fund manager wants to hedge two-thirds of the USD 60 million portfolio, which amounts to USD 40 million. To determine the number of futures contracts (N) needed, the hedge ratio is applied to the value of the portfolio portion being hedged and then divided by the value of one futures contract:

N=(h×portfolio value)/futures valueN = (h \times \text{portfolio value}) / \text{futures value}N=(h×portfolio value)/futures value N=(0.9456×40,000,000)/(2,120×250)N = (0.9456 \times 40,000,000) / (2,120 \times 250)N=(0.9456×40,000,000)/(2,120×250) N=71.3679N = 71.3679N=71.3679

Since the number of contracts must be a whole number, it is rounded to the nearest integer, resulting in 71 contracts. Therefore, the fund manager should sell 71 futures contracts of the S&P 500 Index to achieve the desired hedge. The correct answer is A: Sell 71 futures contracts of the S&P 500 Index.

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