
Explanation:
The question involves calculating the percentage of policyholders that will renew at least one policy next year based on the given probabilities of renewal and the distribution of policy types among policyholders. The insurance company provides the following probabilities:
Additionally, the company records show the following distribution of policy types:
To find the percentage of policyholders that will renew at least one policy, we use the law of total probability. We define the following events:
From the given information, we calculate the probabilities of the intersections and complements of A and H:
Now, we calculate the proportion of policyholders that will renew at least one policy by considering all possible scenarios:
Adding these proportions together gives us the total percentage of policyholders that will renew at least one policy:
0.20 + 0.21 + 0.16 = 0.57
Therefore, 57% of policyholders will renew at least one policy next year, which corresponds to option D.
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An insurance company has made predictions regarding the renewal rates of various policyholders for the upcoming year. Specifically:
Additionally, the company has provided the following information about the distribution of their policyholders:
Using these estimates, calculate the percentage of policyholders that will renew at least one policy next year.
A
29%
B
41%
C
53%
D
57%
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