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Financial Risk Manager Part 1

Financial Risk Manager Part 1

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A financial analyst is concerned about the market risk associated with a particular stock. Over the past year, the historical volatility of the stock's monthly returns has been calculated as 4.5%. Based on this information, which of the following statements is most likely accurate?

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Explanation:

The correct answer is C, which states that the volatility of the annual returns is 15.6%. This is calculated by taking the square root of time to scale the monthly volatility to an annual basis. The historical volatility of the monthly returns is given as 4.5%, so the annual volatility is 12×0.045=0.156\sqrt{12} \times 0.045 = 0.15612​×0.045=0.156 or 15.6%.

Option A and B are incorrect because implied volatility is derived from the market price of options and is not directly related to historical volatilities. Implied volatility reflects the market's expectation of future volatility, which is embedded in the option's price.

Option D is incorrect because it scales the volatility linearly with time, which is not the correct method. The correct approach is to use the square root of time to annualize the volatility, as demonstrated in the explanation for option C.

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