A risk analyst is tasked with calculating the variance of returns for a stock index for the upcoming trading day. To accomplish this, the analyst utilizes a GARCH (1,1) model, which stands for Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity, and is essential for predicting future volatility based on past data. The model is represented by the following equation:
[ o_n = \alpha r_{n-1} + \beta o_{n-1} + v_i, ]
In this context, ( o_n ) represents the index variance on day ( n ), ( r_{n-1} ) represents the return on day ( n-1 ), and ( o_{n-1} ) represents the volatility on day ( n-1 ). Given that the expected value of the return remains constant over time, identify the combination of values for ( \alpha ) and ( \beta ) that would ensure a stable GARCH (1,1) process._
Exam-Like
A
α = 0.073637 and β = 0.927363
9.3%
B
α = 0.075637 and β = 0.923363
64.8%
C
α = 0.084637 and β = 0.916363
16.7%
D
α = 0.086637 and β = 0.914363
9.3%
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50. A risk analyst is tasked with calculating the variance of returns for a stock index for the upcoming trading day. To accomplish this, the analyst utilizes a GARCH (1,1) model, which stands for Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity, and is essential for predicting future volatility based on past data. The model is represented by the following equation:
\[ o_n = \alpha r_{n-1} + \beta o_{n-1} + v_i, \]
In this context, \( o_n \) represents the index variance on day \( n \), \( r_{n-1} \) represents the return on day \( n-1 \), and \( o_{n-1} \) represents the volatility on day \( n-1 \). Given that the expected value of the return remains constant over time, identify the combination of values for \( \alpha \) and \( \beta \) that would ensure a stable GARCH (1,1) process. | Financial Risk Manager Part 1 Quiz - LeetQuiz