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The Chief Risk Officer (CRO) of an investment firm needs the risk management team to evaluate the firm's 3-year derivative contract risk with a counterparty. The team assumes that the counterparty's default probability follows a constant hazard rate process. The table below provides information on the trade, including estimates for the credit default swap (CDS) spread, the expected exposure, and the counterparty's recovery rate:
Year | Expected exposure (AUD million) | CDS spread (bps) | Recovery rate (%) |
---|---|---|---|
1 | 14 | 200 | 80 |
2 | 14 | 300 | 70 |
3 | 14 | 400 | 60 |
Additionally, the CRO has specified the following assumptions for the evaluation:
Given the above information and assumptions, what is the correct calculation for the Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) for this contract?