
Explanation:
The correct answer is C, which is USD 13,715. To determine the 1-day 99% Value-at-Risk (VaR) for the portfolio, we first need to understand the composition of the portfolio and the characteristics of the options and forward contracts it contains. The portfolio consists of:
Given these details, the net delta of the portfolio is calculated as follows:
This indicates that the portfolio has a significant exposure to the underlying stock TUV, equivalent to holding 15,000 shares.
The next step is to calculate the 1-day VaR using the following formula:
Where:
Plugging in the values, we get:
This calculation provides an estimate of the maximum loss that the portfolio could experience with 99% confidence within a single trading day. The result is rounded to USD 13,715, which corresponds to option C in the given choices.
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You are managing a portfolio comprising 5,000 deep in-the-money call options, 20,000 deep out-of-the-money call options, and 10,000 forward contracts on a non-dividend paying stock, TUV. TUV's current stock price is USD 52, with an observed annual volatility of 12%, and the market operates with 252 trading days in a year. Assuming that each contract represents one share of TUV, which of the following values would be approximately equal to the 1-day 99% Value at Risk (VaR) for this portfolio?
A
USD 11,557
B
USD 12,627
C
USD 13,715
D
USD 32,000