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Answer: USD 13,715
The correct answer is C, which is USD 13,715. To determine the 1-day 99% Value-at-Risk (VaR) for the portfolio, we first need to understand the composition of the portfolio and the characteristics of the options and forward contracts it contains. The portfolio consists of: - 5,000 deep in-the-money call options on TUV, which have a delta close to 1, meaning they behave almost like the underlying stock. - 20,000 deep out-of-the-money call options on TUV, which have a delta close to 0, indicating they have minimal exposure to the underlying stock's price movements. - 10,000 forward contracts on TUV, each with a delta of 1, similar to the deep in-the-money calls. Given these details, the net delta of the portfolio is calculated as follows: \[ \text{Net Delta (Dp)} = (1 \times 5,000) + (0 \times 20,000) + (1 \times 10,000) = 15,000 \] This indicates that the portfolio has a significant exposure to the underlying stock TUV, equivalent to holding 15,000 shares. The next step is to calculate the 1-day VaR using the following formula: \[ \text{VaR} = \alpha \times S \times Dp \times \sigma \times \sqrt{\frac{1}{T}} \] Where: - \( \alpha \) is the z-score corresponding to the 99% confidence level, which is 2.326. - \( S \) is the price per share of stock TUV, which is USD 52. - \( Dp \) is the delta of the position, which is 15,000. - \( \sigma \) is the volatility of TUV, which is 12% per year or 0.12. - \( T \) is the time in years, which for a 1-day period is \( \frac{1}{252} \) (assuming 252 trading days in a year). Plugging in the values, we get: \[ \text{VaR} = 2.326 \times 52 \times 15,000 \times 0.12 \times \sqrt{\frac{1}{252}} \approx USD 13,714.67 \] This calculation provides an estimate of the maximum loss that the portfolio could experience with 99% confidence within a single trading day. The result is rounded to USD 13,715, which corresponds to option C in the given choices.
Author: LeetQuiz Editorial Team
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You are managing a portfolio comprising 5,000 deep in-the-money call options, 20,000 deep out-of-the-money call options, and 10,000 forward contracts on a non-dividend paying stock, TUV. TUV's current stock price is USD 52, with an observed annual volatility of 12%, and the market operates with 252 trading days in a year. Assuming that each contract represents one share of TUV, which of the following values would be approximately equal to the 1-day 99% Value at Risk (VaR) for this portfolio?
A
USD 11,557
B
USD 12,627
C
USD 13,715
D
USD 32,000
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