A hedge fund operating under a distressed securities strategy is currently assessing the solvency risk of two potential investment targets. As of now, firm RST holds a credit rating of BB, while firm WYZ is rated B. The hedge fund intends to determine the probability that both firms will simultaneously default within the next 2 years, applying a Gaussian default time copula model. The analysis assumes a 1-year Gaussian default correlation of 0.36. The fund has provided a table containing the abscissa values X and xg from the bivariate normal distribution. Specifically, XBB is defined as N^-1(QBB(tgB)) and Xg is defined as N^-1(Qe(t)), where tgB and tg represent the time-to-default for BB-rated and B-rated companies, respectively; QBB and Q denote the cumulative distribution functions for tBB and tg, respectively; and N denotes the standard normal distribution, while M represents the joint bivariate cumulative standard normal distribution: | Firm RST | Firm WYZ | Firm RST | Firm WYZ | |-----------|-----------|-----------|-----------| | Cumulative Default Probability | Cumulative Default Probability | Standard Normal Percentiles | Standard Normal Percentiles | | Year | Qe(t) | QBB(t) | N^-1(QBB(t)) | N^-1(QB(t)) | | 1 | 5.21% | 5.21% | -1.625 | 19.06% | | 2 | 6.12% | 11.33% | -1.209 | 10.63% | | 3 | 5.50% | 16.83% | -0.961 | 8.24% | | 4 | 4.81% | 21.64% | -0.784 | 6.10% | | 5 | 4.22% | 25.86% | -0.648 | 4.03% | Using the Gaussian copula approach, which option correctly represents the joint probability that both firm RST and firm WYZ will default before the end of year 2? | Financial Risk Manager Part 2 Quiz - LeetQuiz