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54 Three years ago, a company issued a bond using a private placement. The company has no other debt. Six months ago, the company undertook an IPO and started paying dividends. The company's CEO expects constant growth in the future. Which of the following methods is most appropriate to estimate the company's required return on equity?
A
The Fama–French model
B
The dividend discount model
C
The bond yield plus risk premium approach
Explanation:
The dividend discount model (DDM) is most appropriate in this scenario for several key reasons:
Recent IPO and Dividend Initiation: The company started paying dividends just six months ago, indicating it has transitioned to a dividend-paying company.
Constant Growth Expectation: The CEO expects constant growth in the future, which aligns perfectly with the Gordon Growth Model (a form of DDM) that assumes constant dividend growth.
Limited Debt History: While the company has a bond issued three years ago via private placement, this is insufficient for the bond yield plus risk premium approach, which typically requires a longer history of publicly traded debt.
Fama-French Model: This is a multi-factor model that requires extensive historical data and market factors, which may not be available for a newly public company.
Bond Yield Plus Risk Premium: This approach requires a reliable, observable bond yield. The company's bond was issued via private placement (not publicly traded), making its yield difficult to determine accurately. Additionally, the bond was issued three years ago, and market conditions may have changed significantly.
The constant growth DDM formula is: [ r = \frac{D_1}{P_0} + g ] Where:
Given the company's recent dividend initiation and management's expectation of constant growth, DDM provides the most direct and appropriate method for estimating the required return on equity.