Explanation
This problem involves a Poisson distribution where the average rate of accidents is λ = 3 per day.
Poisson Probability Formula:
P(N=n)=n!e−λλn
Step-by-step calculation:
We need to find P(N > 5), which equals:
P(N>5)=1−P(N≤5)
P(N>5)=1−[P(N=0)+P(N=1)+P(N=2)+P(N=3)+P(N=4)+P(N=5)]
Individual probabilities:
- P(N = 0) = 0!e−330=e−3=0.0498
- P(N = 1) = 1!e−331=3e−3=0.1494
- P(N = 2) = 2!e−332=29e−3=0.2240
- P(N = 3) = 3!e−333=627e−3=0.2240
- P(N = 4) = 4!e−334=2481e−3=0.1680
- P(N = 5) = 5!e−335=120243e−3=0.1008
Sum of probabilities:
P(N≤5)=0.0498+0.1494+0.2240+0.2240+0.1680+0.1008=0.9160
Final probability:
P(N>5)=1−0.9160=0.0840
Therefore, the probability that more than 5 accidents occur on a single day is 0.084.