Explanation
For a binomial random variable X with parameters n (number of trials) and p (probability of success), we have:
- Expected value: E(X) = np
- Variance: Var(X) = np(1-p)
Step 1: Use the given probabilities
We are given:
- P(X=0) = 0.20
- P(X=1) = 0.35
- E(X) = 1.5
For a binomial distribution:
- P(X=0) = (1-p)^n = 0.20
- P(X=1) = n × p × (1-p)^(n-1) = 0.35
Step 2: Use the ratio of probabilities
Divide P(X=1) by P(X=0):
P(X=0)P(X=1)=(1−p)nn×p×(1−p)n−1=1−pn×p=0.200.35=1.75
So: 1−pn×p=1.75
Step 3: Use the expected value
We know E(X) = np = 1.5
Substitute np = 1.5 into the ratio:
1−p1.5=1.75
1.5=1.75(1−p)
1.5=1.75−1.75p
1.75p=1.75−1.5
1.75p=0.25
p=1.750.25=71≈0.142857
Step 4: Find n
Since np = 1.5 and p = 1/7:
n×71=1.5
n=1.5×7=10.5
Since n must be an integer, this suggests the distribution may not be exactly binomial, but we can proceed with the variance calculation.
Step 5: Calculate variance
Var(X) = np(1-p) = 1.5 × (1 - 1/7) = 1.5 × (6/7) = 9/7 ≈ 1.2857
This rounds to 1.3, which matches option D.
Answer: D (1.3)