Financial Risk Manager Part 1

Financial Risk Manager Part 1

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Living in a certain city is really expensive. The mean spent by a citizen monthly is 3,000withavarianceof3,000 with a variance of 500. Nonetheless, the city mayor decided to put a tax in order to make people regulate their monthly expenses adding 20% to all daily living articles. Find the new variance of this city.

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Explanation:

Explanation

For this exercise, we need to find the variance of new living costs. Let X be the old living costs and Y the new living costs, then we have:

Y = 1.2X
Var(Y) = Var(1.2X)
       = 1.44 Var(X)
       = 1.44(500) = 720

Key Concept: When a random variable is multiplied by a constant, the variance is multiplied by the square of that constant. This is expressed as:

Var(aX) = a²Var(X)

Where:

  • a = 1.2 (20% increase)
  • Var(X) = 500 (original variance)
  • Var(Y) = (1.2)² × 500 = 1.44 × 500 = 720

Note that the mean ($3,000) is not needed for calculating the variance, as variance measures spread around the mean, not the mean itself.

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