A financial risk manager believes that the prevailing interest rate ($X_1$) and the return in a stock market ($X_2$) can be modeled using the following joint probability function:
$
f(x_1, x_2) =
\begin{cases}
\frac{1}{8} x_1 x_2, & 0 \leq x_1 \leq 1, \; 0 \leq x_2 \leq 4\sqrt{2} \\
0, & \text{elsewhere}
\end{cases}
$
What is the covariance between the interest rate and the return in the stock market? | Financial Risk Manager Part 1 Quiz - LeetQuiz
Financial Risk Manager Part 1
Explanation:
Explanation
The covariance between two random variables X1 and X2 is given by:
Cov(X1,X2)=E(X1X2)−E(X1)⋅E(X2)
To compute this, we need to find:
E(X1X2) - the expected value of the product
E(X1) - the expected value of X1‘3`. E(X2) - the expected value of X2
Step 1: Verify if the function is a valid joint PDF
First, let's check if the given function integrates to 1 over the domain:
∫01∫04281x1x2dx2dx1
=81∫01x1[2x22]042dx1
=81∫01x1⋅2(42)2dx1
=81∫01x1⋅232dx1
=81∫0116x1dx1
=2∫01x1dx1=2⋅21=1
The function is indeed a valid joint PDF.
Step 2: Compute E(X1X2)
E(X1X2)=∫01∫042x1x2⋅81x1x2dx2dx1
=81∫01∫042x12x22dx2dx1
=81∫01x12[3x23]042dx1
=81∫01x12⋅3(42)3dx1
=81∫01x12⋅31282dx1
=3162∫01x12dx1
=3162⋅31=9162
Step 3: Compute E(X1)
E(X1)=∫01∫042x1⋅81x1x2dx2dx1
=81∫01∫042x12x2dx2dx1
=81∫01x12[2x22]042dx1
=81∫01x12⋅2(42)2dx1
=81∫01x12⋅232dx1
=81∫0116x12dx1
=2∫01x12dx1=2⋅31=32
Step 4: Compute E(X2)
E(X2)=∫01∫042x2⋅81x1x2dx2dx1
=81∫01∫042x1x22dx2dx1
=81∫01x1[3x23]042dx1
=81∫01x1⋅3(42)3dx1
=81∫01x1⋅31282dx1
=3162∫01x1dx1
=3162⋅21=382
Step 5: Compute Covariance
Cov(X1,X2)=E(X1X2)−E(X1)⋅E(X2)
=9162−32⋅382
=9162−9162=0
Therefore, the covariance between the interest rate and the stock market return is 0.
Key Insight: The covariance is zero because the joint PDF can be factored as f(x1,x2)=81x1x2=(21x1)⋅(41x2) over the rectangular domain, indicating that X1 and X2 are independent. When two random variables are independent, their covariance is always zero.
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A financial risk manager believes that the prevailing interest rate (X1) and the return in a stock market (X2) can be modeled using the following joint probability function: