
Financial Risk Manager Part 1
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Assume we have equally invested in two different companies; ABC and XYZ. We anticipate that there is a 15% chance that next year's stock returns for ABC Corp will be 6%, a 60% probability that they will be 8% and a 25% probability that they will be 10%. In addition, we already know the expected value of returns is 8.2%, and the standard deviation is 1.249%. We also anticipate that the same probabilities and states are associated with a 4% return for XYZ Corp, a 5% return, and a 5.5% return. The expected value of returns is then 4.975%, and the standard deviation is 0.46%. Calculate the portfolio standard deviation:
Explanation:
Explanation
To calculate the portfolio standard deviation, we need to compute the portfolio variance first and then take its square root.
Step 1: Calculate Covariance
The covariance between ABC and XYZ is calculated using:
Given:
- ABC: Expected return = 8.2% (0.082), Standard deviation = 1.249% (0.01249)
- XYZ: Expected return = 4.975% (0.04975), Standard deviation = 0.46% (0.0046)
- Probabilities: 15% (0.15), 60% (0.6), 25% (0.25)
Step 2: Calculate Portfolio Variance
Since the investment is equally weighted (50% in each):
Portfolio variance formula:
Step 3: Calculate Portfolio Standard Deviation
Therefore, the portfolio standard deviation is 0.00849 or 0.849%.