Financial Risk Manager Part 1

Financial Risk Manager Part 1

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The investment committee asked the manager to present the covariance of both stocks. Using the data given in the following table, calculate the covariance if the population mean is unknown.

YearStock A ReturnStock B Return
117%45%
221%20%
3-8%-2%
4-1%2%
54%-19%
619%2%
7-7%13%
TTanishq



Explanation:

Detailed Explanation

When the population mean is unknown, we use sample covariance which divides by (n-1) instead of n.

Step 1: Calculate Sample Means

Stock A Mean (Ȳ_A): XˉA=0.17+0.21−0.08−0.01+0.04+0.19−0.077=0.0642\bar{X}_A = \frac{0.17 + 0.21 - 0.08 - 0.01 + 0.04 + 0.19 - 0.07}{7} = 0.0642

Stock B Mean (Ȳ_B): XˉB=0.45+0.20−0.02+0.02−0.19+0.02−0.137=0.0871\bar{X}_B = \frac{0.45 + 0.20 - 0.02 + 0.02 - 0.19 + 0.02 - 0.13}{7} = 0.0871

Step 2: Calculate Deviations from Mean

YearStock A ReturnStock B Return(A - Ȳ_A)(B - Ȳ_B)(A - Ȳ_A) × (B - Ȳ_B)
117%45%0.10570.36290.0384
221%20%0.14570.11290.0164
3-8%-2%-0.1443-0.10710.0155
4-1%2%-0.0743-0.06710.0050
54%-19%-0.0243-0.27710.0067
619%2%0.1257-0.0671-0.0084
7-7%13%-0.13430.0429-0.0058

Step 3: Sum the Products

Sum = 0.0384 + 0.0164 + 0.0155 + 0.0050 + 0.0067 - 0.0084 - 0.0058 = 0.0688

Step 4: Calculate Sample Covariance

Since population mean is unknown, we use sample covariance formula:

Sample Covariance=∑(Ai−XˉA)(Bi−XˉB)n−1=0.06886≈0.01147\text{Sample Covariance} = \frac{\sum{(A_i - \bar{X}_A)(B_i - \bar{X}_B)}}{n-1} = \frac{0.0688}{6} ≈ 0.01147

Rounded to four decimal places: 0.0113

Key Points

  • When population mean is unknown, we use sample covariance (divide by n-1)
  • When population mean is known, we would use population covariance (divide by n)
  • The covariance of 0.0113 indicates a positive relationship between the two stocks
  • This calculation is fundamental in portfolio theory for measuring how two assets move together

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