Financial Risk Manager Part 1

Financial Risk Manager Part 1

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After 72 FRM Part 1 students took a mock exam, the mean score was 75. Assuming that the population standard deviation is 10, construct a 99% confidence interval for the mean score on the mock exam.

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Explanation:

Explanation

To construct a 99% confidence interval for the population mean, we use the formula:

μ=xˉ±Zα2×σn\mu = \bar{x} \pm Z_{\frac{\alpha}{2}} \times \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}

Where:

  • xˉ=75\bar{x} = 75 (sample mean)
  • σ=10\sigma = 10 (population standard deviation)
  • n=72n = 72 (sample size)
  • α=0.01\alpha = 0.01 (for 99% confidence level)

From the standard normal distribution table, Z0.005=2.58Z_{0.005} = 2.58

Now calculate the margin of error:

Margin of Error=2.58×1072=2.58×108.4853=2.58×1.1785=3.04\text{Margin of Error} = 2.58 \times \frac{10}{\sqrt{72}} = 2.58 \times \frac{10}{8.4853} = 2.58 \times 1.1785 = 3.04

Therefore, the confidence interval is:

75±3.04=(71.96,78.04)75 \pm 3.04 = (71.96, 78.04)

This means we are 99% confident that the true population mean score lies between 71.96 and 78.04.

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