The mean return of a sample of 28 BB+ corporate bonds is 7.5%, and the sample's standard deviation is 14%. Assuming that the population is normally distributed and the population variance is unknown, what is the 95% confidence interval for the population mean? | Financial Risk Manager Part 1 Quiz - LeetQuiz
Financial Risk Manager Part 1
Explanation:
Explanation
Since the population variance is unknown and the population is normally distributed, and the sample size is less than 30, we use a t-statistic. The t-statistic for a 95% confidence interval and 27 degrees of freedom (df = n-1 = 28-1 = 27) is 2.052.
Step 1: Calculate the Standard Error
Standard Error=Sample SizeSample Standard Deviation=2814=5.291514≈2.646
Step 2: Calculate the Margin of Error
Margin of Error=tα/2,df×Standard Error=2.052×2.646≈5.43
Step 3: Calculate the Confidence Interval
Lower Bound=Sample Mean−Margin of Error=7.5−5.43=2.07%Upper Bound=Sample Mean+Margin of Error=7.5+5.43=12.93%
Therefore, the 95% confidence interval is [2.07%; 12.93%].
Key Points:
t-distribution is used when population variance is unknown and sample size is small (n ≤ 30)
Degrees of freedom = n - 1 = 27
t-critical value for 95% confidence with 27 df is 2.052
Using z-statistic instead would give incorrect results for small samples with unknown population variance
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The mean return of a sample of 28 BB+ corporate bonds is 7.5%, and the sample's standard deviation is 14%. Assuming that the population is normally distributed and the population variance is unknown, what is the 95% confidence interval for the population mean?