Financial Risk Manager Part 1

Financial Risk Manager Part 1

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A hospital uses ultrasound technology to measure the weight of unborn babies as follows:

Gestation period in weeks303234363840
Estimated weight of foetus1.61.72.52.83.23.5

Further information: SXX=70S_{XX} = 70, SYY=3.015S_{YY} = 3.015, SXY=14.3S_{XY} = 14.3. Calculate the least square estimator of the slope and the Y-intercept (in that order)._

TTanishq



Explanation:

Explanation

Under OLS (Ordinary Least Squares) estimation:

  • The regression equation is: yi=α+βxiy_i = \alpha + \beta x_i
  • Where Y is the dependent variable (foetal weight)
  • X is the independent variable (gestation period)
  • α\alpha = the y-intercept
  • β\beta = the slope

Calculating the slope (β\beta):

β=SXYSXX=14.370=0.2043\beta = \frac{S_{XY}}{S_{XX}} = \frac{14.3}{70} = 0.2043

Calculating the y-intercept (α\alpha):

First, we need the means:

  • Mean of Y (yˉ\bar{y}): yˉ=(1.6+1.7+2.5+2.8+3.2+3.5)6=2.55\bar{y} = \frac{(1.6 + 1.7 + 2.5 + 2.8 + 3.2 + 3.5)}{6} = 2.55
  • Mean of X (xˉ\bar{x}): xˉ=(30+32+34+36+38+40)6=35\bar{x} = \frac{(30 + 32 + 34 + 36 + 38 + 40)}{6} = 35

Then: α=yˉ−βxˉ=2.55−0.2043×35=−4.60\alpha = \bar{y} - \beta \bar{x} = 2.55 - 0.2043 \times 35 = -4.60

Therefore, the correct values are:

  • Least square estimator (slope): 0.2043
  • Y-intercept: -4.6

This corresponds to option A.

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