Financial Risk Manager Part 1

Financial Risk Manager Part 1

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A multiple regression model has 3 independent variables such that:

Yi=b0+b1X1+b2X2+b3X3Y_i = b_0 + b_1X_1 + b_2X_2 + b_3X_3

An analyst carries out a joint hypothesis test to determine the statistical significance of the independent variable coefficients, incorporating all the 3 variables. The null hypothesis is such that each variable coefficient is equated to zero. The results reveal that the F-statistic is greater than the one-tailed critical F-value. This implies that:

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Explanation:

Explanation

The F-statistic is a measure used in statistical analysis to assess the significance of the overall regression model. In the context of a joint hypothesis test, the F-statistic is used to determine whether at least one of the independent variables in the model has a significant effect on the dependent variable.

Key Points:

  • Null Hypothesis: All coefficients (b₁, bβ‚‚, b₃) = 0
  • Alternative Hypothesis: At least one coefficient β‰  0
  • F-statistic > Critical F-value: Reject the null hypothesis

Interpretation:

When the F-statistic exceeds the critical F-value, we reject the null hypothesis that all coefficients are zero. This means at least one of the independent variables has a statistically significant effect on the dependent variable.

Why Other Options Are Incorrect:

  • B: The F-test doesn't guarantee that each coefficient is significant - it only tells us that at least one is significant
  • C: If none were significant, the F-statistic would be less than or equal to the critical value
  • D: The F-test cannot determine that only one coefficient is significant - it could be one, two, or all three

This is a fundamental concept in multiple regression analysis where the F-test assesses the overall model significance, while individual t-tests would be needed to determine which specific coefficients are significant.

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