
Financial Risk Manager Part 1
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An FRM exam candidate studies labor participation rate for males 18 years and over, and obtains the following linear model:
Where stands for participation rate and time in years. The fact that (the regression slope) is positive means:_
Explanation:
Explanation
The regression slope, denoted by , is a measure of the rate of change in the dependent variable (in this case, the participation rate) for each unit change in the independent variable (in this case, time). A positive regression slope indicates that the dependent variable increases as the independent variable increases. Therefore, if is positive, it means that the participation rate increases with time. This is consistent with the concept of a positive linear relationship, where an increase in one variable is associated with an increase in the other variable. This relationship is fundamental to regression analysis, which is a statistical method used to understand and quantify the relationships between variables.
Choice A is incorrect. A positive regression slope, , indicates that the participation rate increases with time, not decreases. The sign of the slope coefficient determines the direction of the relationship between the independent variable (time) and dependent variable (participation rate). If was negative, then we could say that participation rate decreases with increase in time.
Choice C is incorrect. Although time is used as an explanatory variable in this model, it does not imply that it's the only explanatory variable. Other variables could also be included in a more complex model to explain changes in labor participation rates over time.
Choice D is incorrect. The given linear model does not provide any information about individual age effects on labor participation rates for males aged 18 years and above. It only shows how overall labor participation rates change over time for this group as a whole.