
Explanation:
The standard error is calculated using the formula:
For the first simulation (n = 81):
For the second simulation (n = 144):
Therefore, the standard errors are:
This demonstrates that as the number of simulations increases, the standard error decreases, improving the accuracy of the Monte Carlo simulation.
Ultimate access to all questions.
Tim Yang, FRM, is working on building a model using a Monte Carlo simulation. However, he is concerned about the accuracy of the simulation which is measured by its standard error. Tim initially runs a model with 81 simulations and the standard deviation was found to be 27%. He then runs the model with 144 simulations and the standard deviation is still 27%. What are the standard errors for the simulations?
A
Standard error for the first simulation: 0.33%; Standard error for the second simulation: 0.19%
B
Standard error for the first simulation: 27%; Standard error for the second simulation: 27.00%
C
Standard error for the first simulation: 2.25%; Standard error for the second simulation: 3%
D
Standard error for the first simulation: 3%; Standard error for the second simulation: 2.25%
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