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Financial Risk Manager Part 1

Financial Risk Manager Part 1

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Q.124 In the Metallgesellschaft case study, which factor played the most significant role in the events that unfolded?

Other
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TTanishq



Explanation:

Explanation

The Metallgesellschaft case is a classic example of a hedging strategy failure due to cash flow timing mismatches.

Key Points:

  • Metallgesellschaft sold long-term fixed-price oil contracts to customers
  • To hedge these positions, they used short-term futures contracts
  • This created a mismatch between:
    • Long-term receivables (fixed price oil deliveries over time)
    • Short-term payables (frequent margin calls on futures positions)

Why Option D is Correct:

  • When oil prices fell, Metallgesellschaft faced massive margin calls on their short futures positions
  • However, they couldn't collect the corresponding gains from their long-term contracts immediately
  • This cash flow timing difference created a liquidity crisis that forced them to unwind positions at a loss

Why Other Options are Incorrect:

  • A: While German accounting rules may have influenced reporting, they weren't the primary cause
  • B: There was no evidence of outright fraud in the case
  • C: Computer systems weren't identified as a major contributing factor

The case demonstrates the critical importance of considering cash flow timing and liquidity risk in hedging strategies, especially when using short-term instruments to hedge long-term exposures.

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