Explanation
To identify the arbitrage opportunity, we need to check if the call option is mispriced relative to its theoretical value using the binomial model.
Given data:
- Strike price (K) = 55.00
- Current stock price (S₀) = 50.00
- Call price (C₀) = 13.50
- Up move probability (π) = 0.60
- S⁺ = 67.80, S⁻ = 27.05
- C⁺ = 21.52, C⁻ = 0.00
- Risk-free rate (r) = 3.00%
Calculate theoretical call value:
First, calculate the risk-neutral probability:
p=u−d(1+r)−d
Where:
u=S0S+=50.0067.80=1.356
d=S0S−=50.0027.05=0.541
p=1.356−0.5411.03−0.541=0.8150.489=0.60
Theoretical call value:
C0=1+rp×C++(1−p)×C−=1.030.60×21.52+0.40×0=1.0312.912=12.54
Arbitrage analysis:
- Theoretical value = 12.54
- Market price = 13.50
- The call is overpriced by 0.96
Arbitrage strategy:
Since the call is overpriced, we should:
- Sell the call option (receive 13.50)
- Buy the underlying stock (hedge the short call position)
- Lend cash (invest the remaining proceeds at risk-free rate)
This creates a risk-free profit because we're selling the overpriced call and creating a synthetic long position that replicates the call's payoff at a lower cost.