Explanation
Option C is correct: The discrepancy is explained by both share buybacks and the issuance of new shares.
How these factors create divergence:
Share buybacks:
- Reduce the number of outstanding shares
- Increase earnings per share (EPS) without actual earnings growth
- Can boost stock prices without corresponding economic growth
Issuance of new shares:
- Increases the number of outstanding shares
- Dilutes existing shareholders' ownership
- Can depress stock prices even when the economy grows
Real-world impact:
- Buybacks can make equity returns appear stronger than underlying economic growth
- New share issuance can make equity returns appear weaker than economic growth
- The net effect depends on which factor dominates in a given period
This explains why stock market performance doesn't always mirror GDP growth.