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Answer: the JPY/AUD (the amount of JPY per 1 AUD) exchange rate is expected to decrease by 2%.
According to ex ante purchasing power parity (PPP), the expected change in exchange rate equals the inflation differential between the two countries. **Analysis of each option:** **Option A: JPY/AUD** - Inflation differential = Australia (3%) - Japan (1%) = 2% - Higher inflation currency (AUD) should depreciate - For JPY/AUD (JPY per AUD), depreciation means the exchange rate decreases - **Expected change: -2% ✓** **Option B: USD/AUD** - Inflation differential = Australia (3%) - US (4%) = -1% - Higher inflation currency (USD) should depreciate - For USD/AUD (USD per AUD), depreciation means the exchange rate decreases - **Expected change: -1% ✗ (should be +1%)** **Option C: JPY/USD** - Inflation differential = US (4%) - Japan (1%) = 3% - Higher inflation currency (USD) should depreciate - For JPY/USD (JPY per USD), depreciation means the exchange rate increases - **Expected change: +3% ✗ (should be -3%)** Only Option A correctly applies the PPP theory.
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| Country | Currency | Expected Inflation Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Australia | AUD | 3% |
| Japan | JPY | 1% |
| US | USD | 4% |
According to ex ante purchasing power parity (PPP):
A
the JPY/AUD (the amount of JPY per 1 AUD) exchange rate is expected to decrease by 2%.
B
the USD/AUD (the amount of USD per 1 AUD) exchange rate is expected to decrease by 1%.
C
the JPY/USD (the amount of JPY per 1 USD) exchange rate is expected to increase by 3%.