The rolling down the yield curve strategy delivers the highest relative returns when the curve is upward sloping. This is because:
- Rolling down the yield curve involves buying bonds with maturities longer than the investment horizon
- As time passes, the bond's remaining maturity decreases, and it "rolls down" to lower yields on the curve
- The steeper the upward slope, the greater the yield decline as the bond moves down the curve
- This yield decline translates into price appreciation, generating additional returns beyond the coupon income
With a flat or downward sloping curve, there is little or no yield advantage to be gained from this strategy.