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Chartered Financial Analyst Level 2

Chartered Financial Analyst Level 2

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An analyst forecasts the R&D spend of a pharmaceutical company using an AR(1) process by modeling the quarterly R&D spend per dollar of revenue. The estimated model is:
R&DSpend_{t+1} = 0.25 + 0.12(R&DSpend_t)

If the current quarter's R&D spend per dollar of revenue is $0.15, the two-quarter-ahead forecast of the R&D spend based on this model is closest to:

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