Explanation
A random walk process is a special case of an AR(1) model with an intercept equal to 0 and a slope equal to 1.
Mathematical Definition:
- Random walk: Yt=Yt−1+ϵt
- AR(1) model: Yt=b0+b1Yt−1+ϵt
- When b0=0 and b1=1, the AR(1) model becomes a random walk
Why other options are incorrect:
A. Is a covariance-stationary time series - FALSE
- Random walks are non-stationary
- Variance increases over time: Var(Yt)=tσ2
- Mean may not be constant
B. Has a well-defined mean-reverting level - FALSE
- Mean-reverting level for AR(1) is 1−b1b0
- For random walk (b1=1), this becomes undefined (division by zero)
- Random walks do not revert to any mean level
Key Properties of Random Walks:
- Unit root process (b1=1)
- Non-stationary
- No tendency to revert to mean
- Variance grows with time
- Commonly used to model stock prices and other financial variables
Therefore, option C correctly describes the relationship between random walks and AR(1) models.