Explanation
Random walks are a special case of an autoregressive model of order one (AR(1)).
Key points:
- A random walk model is defined as: xt=xt−1+εt
- This can be rewritten as: xt−xt−1=εt
- This is equivalent to an AR(1) model where the coefficient on the lagged term is exactly 1
- In AR(1) notation: xt=ϕxt−1+εt where ϕ=1
Therefore, random walks are a specific instance of AR(1) models where the autoregressive coefficient equals 1.