Explanation
For the Dickey-Fuller test, the regression specification is:
Δxt=γxt−1+εt
Where:
- Δxt=xt−xt−1 (first difference, dependent variable)
- xt−1 (first lag of the time series, independent variable)
Key points:
- The Dickey-Fuller test examines whether γ=0 in this regression
- If γ=0, then xt=xt−1+εt, which is a random walk (unit root)
- If γ<0, the series is stationary
Why option A is correct:
- The independent variable is simply the first lag xt−1
- No transformation like subtracting 1 is needed
- The test directly examines the coefficient on the lagged level
Why other options are incorrect:
- Option B: No need to subtract 1 from the lagged variable
- Option C: This would be testing for higher-order unit roots, not the basic Dickey-Fuller test