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Answer: not be covariance stationary and the regression coefficients will not be consistent.
## Explanation When two time series each have a unit root (are non-stationary) but are **not cointegrated**, this means there is no long-run equilibrium relationship between them. **Key implications:** - The error term in the regression will inherit the non-stationarity from the original series - Non-stationary error terms violate the assumptions of classical linear regression - This leads to **spurious regression** where the regression appears significant but is actually meaningless - The regression coefficients will **not be consistent** (they don't converge to the true population values) - The error term will **not be covariance stationary** Therefore, both the error term non-stationarity and inconsistent coefficients occur when non-stationary series are not cointegrated.
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An analyst regresses changes in an exchange rate over time on the two countries' inflation rate differential. While each of the two time series has a unit root, the time series are not cointegrated. This implies that the error term in the linear regression will:
A
be covariance stationary and the regression coefficients will be consistent.
B
be covariance stationary but the regression coefficients will not be consistent.
C
not be covariance stationary and the regression coefficients will not be consistent.
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