
Explanation:
Letting n equal the number of bonds in the portfolio and p equal the individual default probability, the formulas to use are as follows:
Mean = E(K) = n × p = 5 × 0.17 = 0.85.
Variance = Variance(K) = n × p × (1-p) = 5 × 0.17 × (0.83) = 0.7055
Standard deviation = sqrt(0.7055) = 0.8399.
Section: Quantitative Analysis
Reference: Global Association of Risk Professionals. Quantitative Analysis. New York, NY: Pearson, 2019. Chapter 3. Common Univariate Random Variables.
Learning Objective: Distinguish the key properties and identify the common occurrences of the following distributions: uniform distribution, Bernoulli distribution, binomial distribution, Poisson distribution, normal distribution, lognormal distribution, Chi-squared distribution, Student's t, and F-distributions.
Ultimate access to all questions.
What is the mean and standard deviation of the number of bonds defaulting over the next year?
A
Mean = 0.15, standard deviation = 0.71
B
Mean = 0.85, standard deviation = 0.84
C
Mean = 0.85, standard deviation = 0.71
D
Mean = 0.15, standard deviation = 0.84
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