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Answer: $7.36
## Explanation This is a binomial option pricing problem. Given: - Stock price (S) = $75 - Strike price (K) = $90 - Risk-free rate (r) = 5% - Time to expiration (T) = 3 years - Risk-neutral probability of up move (p) = 60% Since the stock price rises or falls by a proportional amount each year, we need to calculate the up and down factors. The volatility is given as 18.25%, which suggests we can use the standard binomial model parameters: - u = e^(σ√Δt) = e^(0.1825×√1) = e^0.1825 ≈ 1.200 - d = 1/u ≈ 0.833 However, we're told the risk-neutral probability is approximately 60%, which is consistent with: p = (e^(rΔt) - d)/(u - d) With 60% probability, the option will only have value if the stock price goes up significantly over 3 years. The call option pays max(S-K, 0). Using the binomial tree: - After 3 up moves: S = 75 × 1.200^3 ≈ 75 × 1.728 = $129.60 Payoff = max(129.60 - 90, 0) = $39.60 - Probability of 3 up moves = 0.6^3 = 0.216 - Present value = 39.60 × 0.216 × e^(-0.05×3) ≈ 39.60 × 0.216 × 0.8607 ≈ $7.36 This matches option D.
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The current price of a non-dividend paying stock is $75. The annual volatility of the stock is 18.25%, and the current continuously compounded risk-free interest rate is 5%. A 3-year European call option exists that has a strike price of $90. Assuming that the price of the stock will rise or fall by a proportional amount each year, and the risk neutral probability that the stock will rise is approximately 60%, what is the value of the European call option?
A
$22.16
B
$12.91
C
$3.24
D
$7.36
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