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Answer: 88.21% represents the chance of BBB loans staying at BBB or being upgraded over 1 year
**Explanation:** - **Option A is incorrect**: The actual chance of BBB loans being upgraded over 1 year is 4.08% (0.02 + 0.21 + 3.85), but this is not the correct statement among the options. - **Option B is incorrect**: The chance of BB loans staying at the same rate over 1 year is indeed 75.73%, but this is not the correct answer. - **Option C is correct**: 88.21% represents the probability that BBB-rated loans will either remain at BBB rating or be upgraded to a higher rating over a 1-year period. This includes the probability of staying at BBB plus the probabilities of all upgrade scenarios. - **Option D is incorrect**: The chance of BB loans being downgraded over 1 year is 5.72% (0.04 + 0.08 + 0.33 + 5.27), but this is not the correct answer. The correct answer is C because it accurately describes the cumulative probability of BBB loans either maintaining their current rating or experiencing an upgrade.
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Q-102. Which of the following statements about credit migration probabilities is correct?
A
The chance of BBB loans being upgraded over 1 year is 4.08%
B
The chance of BB loans staying at the same rate over 1 year is 75.73%
C
88.21% represents the chance of BBB loans staying at BBB or being upgraded over 1 year
D
The chance of BB loans being downgraded over 1 year is 5.72%