
Answer-first summary for fast verification
Answer: 2/5
## Explanation This is a conditional probability problem. Let's define the events: - R: Wife receives the letter - N: Man receives no response We want P(R | N) **Given probabilities:** - P(R) = 2/3 (letter reaches wife) - P(Rᶜ) = 1/3 (letter doesn't reach wife) **Conditional probabilities:** - If wife receives letter (R), she will certainly mail response - P(no response | R) = P(response doesn't reach husband | R) = 1/3 (since delivery probability is 2/3) - P(no response | Rᶜ) = 1 (if wife doesn't receive letter, no response is certain) **Using Bayes' Theorem:** P(R | N) = [P(N | R) × P(R)] / P(N) Where: - P(N | R) = 1/3 - P(R) = 2/3 - P(N) = P(N | R) × P(R) + P(N | Rᶜ) × P(Rᶜ) = (1/3 × 2/3) + (1 × 1/3) = 2/9 + 1/3 = 2/9 + 3/9 = 5/9 Therefore: P(R | N) = [(1/3) × (2/3)] / (5/9) = (2/9) / (5/9) = 2/5 So the probability that his wife received his letter given that he received no response is 2/5.
Author: LeetQuiz Editorial Team
Ultimate access to all questions.
In country X, the probability that a letter sent through the postal system reaches its destination is 2/3. Assume that each postal delivery is independent of every other postal delivery, and assume that if a wife receives a letter from her husband, she will certainly mail a response to her husband.
Suppose a man in country X mails a letter to his wife (also in country X) through the postal system. If the man does not receive a response letter from his wife, what is the probability that his wife received his letter?
A
1/3
B
3/5
C
2/3
D
2/5
