Explanation
This is a Poisson distribution problem where:
- Average calls per hour (λ) = 2
- Time period = 8 hours
- Total average calls in 8 hours = λ_total = 2 × 8 = 16
- We want P(X = 20)
The Poisson probability formula is:
P(X=k)=k!e−λλk
Where:
- λ = 16 (average calls in 8 hours)
- k = 20 (number of calls we want)
P(X=20)=20!e−16⋅1620
Calculating this:
- e^{-16} ≈ 1.125 × 10^{-7}
- 16^{20} ≈ 1.208 × 10^{24}
- 20! ≈ 2.433 × 10^{18}
P(X=20)≈2.433×1018(1.125×10−7)×(1.208×1024)≈0.0559
Therefore, the probability is approximately 5.59%, which matches option A.