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A risk manager is estimating the market risk of a portfolio using both the arithmetic returns with normal distribution assumptions and the geometric returns with lognormal distribution assumptions. The manager gathers the following data on the portfolio:
Annualized average of arithmetic returns: 16%
Annualized standard deviation of arithmetic returns: 27%
Annualized average of geometric returns: 13%
Annualized standard deviation of geometric returns: 29%
Current portfolio value: EUR 5,200,000
Trading days in a year: 252
Assuming both daily arithmetic returns and daily geometric returns are serially independent, which of the following statements is correct?
A
The 1-day normal 95% VaR is equal to 1.63% and the 1-day lognormal 95% VaR is equal to 1.76%.
B
The 1-day normal 95% VaR is equal to 2.69% and the 1-day lognormal 95% VaR is equal to 2.88%.
C
The 1-day normal 95% VaR is equal to 2.74% and the 1-day lognormal 95% VaR is equal to 2.92%.
D
The 1-day normal 95% VaR is equal to 3.26% and the 1-day lognormal 95% VaR is equal to 3.48%.