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Answer: USD 34.03 million of 5-year swaps, and USD 47.74 million of 10-year swaps
## Explanation To determine the notional amounts of the 5-year and 10-year swaps needed to hedge a USD 100 million notional amount of 7-year swaps, we need to set up a hedge that makes the portfolio insensitive to changes in both the 5-year and 10-year swap rates. ### Step 1: Understanding the P&L Equation The P&L of the position is given by: $$ -F^7 \times \left(\frac{DV01^7}{100}\right) \times \Delta y_t^7 - F^5 \times \left(\frac{DV01^5}{100}\right) \times \Delta y_t^5 - F^{10} \times \left(\frac{DV01^{10}}{100}\right) \times \Delta y_t^{10} $$ Where: - $F^7 = 100$ million (notional of 7-year swap) - $F^5$ = notional of 5-year swap (to be determined) - $F^{10}$ = notional of 10-year swap (to be determined) - $DV01^7 = 0.084$, $DV01^5 = 0.061$, $DV01^{10} = 0.115$ ### Step 2: Substituting the Regression Equation From the regression model: $$ \Delta y_t^7 = \alpha + \beta^5 \Delta y_t^5 + \beta^{10} \Delta y_t^{10} + \varepsilon_t $$ Where $\beta^5 = 0.2471$ and $\beta^{10} = 0.6536$ Substituting into the P&L equation and ignoring the constant term (which doesn't affect the hedge ratios): $$ [-F^7 \times (DV01^7/100) \times \beta^5 - F^5 \times (DV01^5/100)] \times \Delta y_t^5 + [-F^7 \times (DV01^7/100) \times \beta^{10} - F^{10} \times (DV01^{10}/100)] \times \Delta y_t^{10} $$ ### Step 3: Setting Up the Hedge Conditions For a perfect hedge, the coefficients of $\Delta y_t^5$ and $\Delta y_t^{10}$ must both be zero: 1. For $\Delta y_t^5$: $$ -F^7 \times (DV01^7/100) \times \beta^5 - F^5 \times (DV01^5/100) = 0 $$ 2. For $\Delta y_t^{10}$: $$ -F^7 \times (DV01^7/100) \times \beta^{10} - F^{10} \times (DV01^{10}/100) = 0 $$ ### Step 4: Solving for the Notional Amounts **For the 5-year swap:** $$ F^5 = -F^7 \times \frac{DV01^7}{DV01^5} \times \beta^5 = -100 \times \frac{0.084}{0.061} \times 0.2471 = -34.03 \text{ million} $$ **For the 10-year swap:** $$ F^{10} = -F^7 \times \frac{DV01^7}{DV01^{10}} \times \beta^{10} = -100 \times \frac{0.084}{0.115} \times 0.6536 = -47.74 \text{ million} $$ The negative signs indicate that the hedge positions should be in the opposite direction to the original 7-year swap position. Since the bank is the fixed-rate payer on the 7-year swap, they should be fixed-rate receivers on both the 5-year and 10-year swaps. ### Step 5: Final Answer The correct notional amounts are: - **USD 34.03 million of 5-year swaps** - **USD 47.74 million of 10-year swaps** This corresponds to option C.
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A derivatives trader at an investment bank is considering how to hedge a relatively illiquid 7-year USD interest-rate swap the bank just entered into as the fixed-rate payer. The trader recognizes that any profit resulting from the bid-ask spread may be lost if the trade is hedged with another illiquid 7-year swap and considers using the more liquid 5-year and 10-year USD interest-rate swaps as a hedge. To evaluate this possible hedge, the trader runs a two-variable regression model using changes in the 5-year and 10-year swap rates to explain changes in the 7-year swap rate. The regression model, regression results, and information about the swaps are given below:
| Number of observations | 1255 |
|---|---|
| R-squared | 98.1% |
| Standard error | 0.12 |
| Regression coefficients | Value | Standard error |
|---|---|---|
| Constant (α) | 0.0012 | 0.0030 |
| Change in 5-year swap rate (β⁵) | 0.2471 | 0.0025 |
| Change in 10-year swap rate (β¹⁰) | 0.6536 | 0.0027 |
| Swap tenor | Swap fixed rate | DV01 |
|---|---|---|
| 5-year | 2.591% | 0.061 |
| 7-year | 2.492% | 0.084 |
| 10-year | 2.475% | 0.115 |
What are the correct notional amounts of 5-year and 10-year swaps needed to hedge a USD 100 million notional amount of 7-year swaps?
A
USD 23.76 million of 5-year swaps, and USD 65.81 million of 10-year swaps
B
USD 24.71 million of 5-year swaps, and USD 65.36 million of 10-year swaps
C
USD 34.03 million of 5-year swaps, and USD 47.74 million of 10-year swaps
D
USD 68.85 million of 5-year swaps, and USD 36.52 million of 10-year swaps