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Financial Risk Manager Part 2

Financial Risk Manager Part 2

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A derivatives trader at an investment bank is considering how to hedge a relatively illiquid 7-year USD interest-rate swap the bank just entered into as the fixed-rate payer. The trader recognizes that any profit resulting from the bid-ask spread may be lost if the trade is hedged with another illiquid 7-year swap and considers using the more liquid 5-year and 10-year USD interest-rate swaps as a hedge. To evaluate this possible hedge, the trader runs a two-variable regression model using changes in the 5-year and 10-year swap rates to explain changes in the 7-year swap rate. The regression model, regression results, and information about the swaps are given below:

Δyt7=α+β5Δyt5+β10Δyt10+εt\Delta y_t^7 = \alpha + \beta^5 \Delta y_t^5 + \beta^{10} \Delta y_t^{10} + \varepsilon_tΔyt7​=α+β5Δyt5​+β10Δyt10​+εt​

Number of observations1255
R-squared98.1%
Standard error0.12
Regression coefficientsValueStandard error
Constant (α)0.00120.0030
Change in 5-year swap rate (β⁵)0.24710.0025
Change in 10-year swap rate (β¹⁰)0.65360.0027
Swap tenorSwap fixed rateDV01
5-year2.591%0.061
7-year2.492%0.084
10-year2.475%0.115

What are the correct notional amounts of 5-year and 10-year swaps needed to hedge a USD 100 million notional amount of 7-year swaps?

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