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Financial Risk Manager Part 2

Financial Risk Manager Part 2

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The trading desk at Big Bank is pricing an off-market swap. The quantitative analysis team has identified the interest rate drift in periods 1 and 2 to be 25 basis points and -10 basis points, respectively. These values were calibrated from liquid swap prices. The current short-term interest rate is 5.4% with a long-run mean reverting level of 15.1%. Additionally, the long-run true interest rate is 12.6%. The time steps is 1; i.e., dt=1. Using the HO-LEE Model, what is the expected short-term interest rate in two periods?

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