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Answer: Narrowing debt/CDS spreads.
## Explanation **Option A** is the correct answer because: - **Narrowing debt/CDS spreads** indicates improving credit conditions and reduced perceived risk by the market - When debt spreads narrow, it means investors are demanding lower risk premiums, suggesting the bank's creditworthiness is improving - This is typically a positive signal, not a red flag for liquidity problems **Why Option B is a red flag:** - **Sudden increase in debt costs** signals that lenders perceive higher risk and are demanding higher compensation - This indicates deteriorating market confidence and potential funding difficulties - Higher borrowing costs directly impact liquidity by making funding more expensive and potentially less available In liquidity early warning systems, red flags typically include: - Widening credit spreads - Increasing funding costs - Declining stock prices - Credit rating downgrades - Counterparty withdrawal - Negative news coverage Narrowing spreads represent improving conditions and are therefore NOT red flags.
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Liquidity Early Warning Indicators (EWI) can be compared to an automobile's dashboard signal system where the appearance of a red light points our attention to something that may become a problem if not addressed. Each of the following is a credible red indicator (aka, red flag) in a Liquidity Early Warning Indicator (aka, Liquidity EWI) dashboard EXCEPT which is not a red (red flag) liquidity indicator?
A
Narrowing debt/CDS spreads.
B
Sudden increase in debt costs.
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