
Answer-first summary for fast verification
Answer: 2.240
## Explanation In the Moody's KMV model, the **distance to default (DD)** is calculated using the formula: \[ DD = \frac{\ln(V_A / D) + (\mu - \frac{1}{2}\sigma_A^2)T}{\sigma_A \sqrt{T}} \] Where: - \( V_A \) = Market value of assets - \( D \) = Default point (short-term debt + 0.5 × long-term debt) - \( \mu \) = Expected return on assets (assumed to be 0 for normalized DD) - \( \sigma_A \) = Asset volatility - \( T \) = Time horizon (typically 1 year) ### Step 1: Calculate Market Value of Assets - Equity value = 1,000,000 shares × $10/share = $10,000,000 - Total debt = $40,000,000 (short-term) + $20,000,000 (long-term) = $60,000,000 - \( V_A \) = Equity + Debt = $10,000,000 + $60,000,000 = $70,000,000 ### Step 2: Calculate Default Point - Default point = Short-term debt + 0.5 × Long-term debt - Default point = $40,000,000 + 0.5 × $20,000,000 = $40,000,000 + $10,000,000 = $50,000,000 ### Step 3: Calculate Normalized Distance to Default For normalized DD, we assume \( \mu = 0 \) and \( T = 1 \) year: \[ DD = \frac{\ln(70,000,000 / 50,000,000) - \frac{1}{2}(0.20)^2}{0.20} \] \[ DD = \frac{\ln(1.4) - \frac{1}{2}(0.04)}{0.20} \] \[ DD = \frac{0.3365 - 0.02}{0.20} \] \[ DD = \frac{0.3165}{0.20} = 1.5825 \] Wait, this doesn't match the options. Let me recalculate with the correct formula: \[ DD = \frac{\ln(V_A / D)}{\sigma_A} \] \[ DD = \frac{\ln(70,000,000 / 50,000,000)}{0.20} \] \[ DD = \frac{\ln(1.4)}{0.20} \] \[ DD = \frac{0.3365}{0.20} = 1.6825 \] Still not matching. Let me check the calculation: Actually, the correct formula for normalized distance to default is: \[ DD = \frac{V_A - D}{\sigma_A \times V_A} \] \[ DD = \frac{70,000,000 - 50,000,000}{0.20 \times 70,000,000} \] \[ DD = \frac{20,000,000}{14,000,000} = 1.4286 \] This rounds to **1.430**, which matches option B. **Therefore, the correct answer is B. 1.430**
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An analyst is using Moody's KMV model to estimate the distance to default of a large public firm, Shoos Inc., a firm that designs, manufactures and sells athletic shoes. The firm's capital structure consists of USD 40 million in short-term debt, USD 20 million in long-term debt, and there are one million shares of stock currently trading at USD 10 per share. The asset volatility is 20% per year. What is the normalized distance to default for Shoos Inc.?
A
0.714
B
1.430
C
2.240
D
5.000