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A bank enters into a swap agreement with a counterparty. The swap has no collateral requirements, and no netting agreements are present between the bank and the counterparty. The following data is available for the swap position:
The counterparty expected positive exposure is 0.40% and approximately constant from month to month.
The credit spread for a five-year credit default swap on the counterparty is 500 bps.
The counterparty's probability of default within five years is 10%.
The 5-year effective duration of the swap is 4.0.
Assuming no wrong-way risk on the position, which value is the closest approximation of the credit value adjustment expressed as a running spread?
A
-2 bps
B
-4 bps
C
-5 bps
D
-8 bps